Geopolitics

🇺🇸

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...

100%chance
$28m Vol.Monthly
🇮🇷

US strikes Iran by...?

February 3
<1%
February 4
1%
$164m Vol.Monthly
🇷🇺

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?

<1%chance
$12m Vol.Monthly
🇮🇷

US next strikes Iran on...?

February 1
<1%
February 2
<1%
$85m Vol.Monthly
🇻🇪

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Delcy Rodriguez
66%
Maria Corina Machado
14%
$15m Vol.
🎯

Next Country US Strikes

Somalia
99%
Iran
<1%
$1m Vol.Monthly
👔

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Schoof - Netherlands...
89%
Khamenei - Iran Suprem...
3%
$86m Vol.
🇺🇦

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31...

12%chance
$13m Vol.
🇮🇷

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran...

11%chance
$86m Vol.Daily
🇺🇦

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February...

4%chance
$32m Vol.
🇮🇱

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

February 15
15%
February 28
28%
$10m Vol.
🇮🇷

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

12%chance
$84m Vol.Monthly